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July 18, 2022 • 7 hours ago • 3 minutes reading • 55 comments Prime Minister Justin Trudeau greets the partygoers at the Toronto Junior Carnival on Saturday, July 16, 2022. Photo by Christopher Katsarov / The Canadian Press
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After admitting in April that it exceeded its 2020 target to reduce Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions by a national mile, the Trudeau government on Monday released part of its plan to meet the target of 2030, which is even more unreal.
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This is consistent with the fact that no Canadian government of any kind has ever come close to achieving an emissions target dating back to 1988, when the first was set by the then Conservative government.
Global efforts to meet the United Nations emissions targets call for halving current emissions by 2030. In the real world, they reached their highest level last year.
The reality is that climate change policies are not environmental policies and will not affect the climate for the next eight years or beyond.
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These are economic policies that increase the cost of living for Canadians, contributing to an annual inflation rate about to rise to “just over 8%” this week, according to Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem , the highest level since 1982.
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Not even the massive economic crisis caused by the first year of the pandemic in 2020, which drastically reduced global emissions that year, allowed Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to be close to achieving his 2020 goal of reducing emissions up to 17% below 2005 levels for that year. .
This meant that its target for 2020 was 615 million tonnes of emissions, while its government reported in April that actual emissions in 2020 were 672 million tonnes.
Trudeau failed to meet its target of 57 million tonnes, the equivalent of all emissions in Canada’s electricity sector that year.
But 2020 was atypical due to the economic recession caused by the pandemic. A one-year drop in this context is irrelevant to reducing emissions, which to be credible must occur year after year for decades.
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This has never happened.
The most realistic figure to weight Trudeau’s 2020 target was Canada’s emissions in 2019, which were consistent with historical standards.
In 2019, Canada emitted 738 million tonnes of greenhouse gases, meaning Trudeau failed to meet its 2020 target by 123 million tonnes, the equivalent of almost all emissions from the electricity and agricultural sectors. of Canada that year.
On Monday, the Trudeau government provided more details on its plans to limit emissions from Canada’s oil and gas sector, which contributes the most emissions in any sector, to at least 42% below the levels of 2019 by 2030, ie 118 million tons, although ideally. the plan is to reduce them to 110 million tonnes.
It intends to use a limit and trade system or a modified carbon pricing system (both carbon taxes under another name) to achieve this.
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Given that in 2019 Canada’s oil and gas sector emitted 203.5 million tonnes of greenhouse gases, this means that the Trudeau government’s target is to reduce them by between 85.5 and 93.5 million tons per year by 2030, the equivalent of eliminating all annual emissions from Canada’s construction sector in less than eight years.
When the feds first announced the plan in March, Alberta’s then-environment minister called it “insane” with “devastating economic consequences.”
NPD leader Rachel Notley said “a fantasy … we won’t get there.” Of course, if the Liberals are still in power by 2030 when they exceed their 2030 target of reducing emissions by 40% to 45% below 2005 levels, they will announce an even more unrealistic plan to reduce them. to zero in 2050.
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