The Dallas Mavericks won’t come out that way. At least not at home.
Dallas avoided a series sweep at the hands of the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference Finals, but will now return to the “City by the Bay” for Game 5 Thursday night. Bettors have been ranked as the 7-point NBA betting favorite to finish the series in San Francisco despite a one-sided defeat in Game 4.
Check out our free NBA picks and predictions for the Warriors Mavericks on May 26th.
Mavericks vs Warriors Game 5 odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each regulated sports betting market.
Golden State opened at -6.5 and jumped to -7.5 with a bit of a buyback on the Dallas cut that extended to the Warriors -7 in some stores starting Wednesday afternoon. The total opened at 216 points and has shrunk slightly to 215.5.
Use the live odds widget above to keep track of future line moves until you aim, and be sure to check the full NBA odds before betting to make sure you get the best number.
Predictions of Mavericks vs Warriors Game 5
Predictions made on 25/5/2022 at 15:10 ET. Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.
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Game information Mavericks vs Warriors 5
• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA • Date: Thursday, May 26, 2022 • Notice: 9:00 PM ET • TV: TNT
Odds from the Mavericks vs Warriors series
Mavericks: + 1,500 Warriors: -3,500
Mavericks vs Warriors Game 5 betting preview
Key injuries
Mavericks: Tim Hardaway Jr. G (Out). Warriors: Otto Porter Jr. F (questionable), Gary Payton Jr. G (Out), Andre Iguodala F (questionable), James Wiseman C (Out). Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over are 14-6 in the last 20 games between the Mavericks and the Warriors. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Warriors.
Mavericks vs Warriors Game 5 picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based on our analysis of the line and total of this game. Our best bet is our preferred choice in all markets.
Diffusion analysis
You have to give credit to Dallas head coach Jason Kidd for keeping up with his team’s happy 3-point system in Game 4, given that the Mavericks’ love for long-range looks do at the previous exit.
Dallas was 20 of 43 from distance on Tuesday, after making just 13 of the 45 triples in the previous game. That helped build a 29-point cushion between the Mavericks and the Warriors, and essentially put the Dubs in default in the “don’t get hurt” mode in the second half. The Golden State substitutes made a late push, which sank the asses of Dallas bettors, but the game was never really in doubt.
While the Mavericks stuck with the all-or-nothing approach from beyond the arc, they made some adjustments that were profitable in Game 4. Kidd wasn’t going to get big, no matter how much the Dubs hit them on the glass. so he relied on the strength of Luka Doncic’s man to play bigger, with the 23-year-old crashing the boards for 14 defensive rebounds.
Doncic also relied on his teammates, handing out nine assists, the most in the series to find open shooters, who made up for his poor quality shot from outside (only 3 of 11 from depth). Mavs role-playing players increased with five boys not named Luka scoring in double figures.
Except for the leaky roof, the effort was reminiscent of Dallas ’turn in the previous series. After abandoning the first two games against Phoenix, Doncic took on another role as a dealer and his teammates answered the call with a 180 in production.
The Mavs took that momentum into a series win over the Suns, and while I’m not sure there is enough in the tank to turn it around, I hope Dallas goes down swinging and doesn’t end up in a bad end. ‘these. bursts of playoffs to which we have become accustomed.
The Warriors are a great defensive team and have thrown a lot of challenges in Dallas in this series, mixing man to man, zone look and box-and-one. However, many times, the Mavs have just completely missed the open shots that went down in the previous rounds.
In addition to those open glances that fell on Tuesday, Dallas was more active without the ball and we saw cuts in space instead of just dribbling and jumping past. The Mavericks recorded 30 assists in 41 field goals (73% attendance) compared to just 55% in the first three games of the Western Finals, removing one page from the Warriors playbook. and making the Dubs really work on defense.
Prediction: Mavericks +7.5 (-118 to 888sport)
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Upper / lower analysis
A testament to the Warriors’ depth and scoring skill is the 109 points recorded in Game 4. Golden State equaled the total points in Game 3 even though the starters sat for most of the second half and fired only 5 of 16 with triples. as a unit. The bench was restless, and with 53 minutes passed, the referee gave the foul.
Tuesday’s competition saw a 97.5 percent increase over 96.67 in the previous three games, in part due to Dallas’ fight on the boards and the limitation of additional offensive possessions for the Warriors, as well. such as generating more shots off the assists rather than relying on creating mismatches. off the screens to isolate yourself.
The Mavericks are at stake in terms of their small ball lineup, putting the defense in the background as they try to outscore the Warriors, who have mostly settled for 2-point field goals instead of going to the other side. beyond the arch. Dallas ran into space against the Dubs zone sets in Game 4 and broke that defense from the inside out.
These teams amassed 243 combined points in their last meeting at the Chase Center, surpassing the final total of 215.5 by 27.5 points in Game 2. With the Warriors ’mats eager to wipe out Tuesday’s off effort and the Mavs attack finding different ways to score. , we like Over in Game 5.
Prediction: Over 215.5 (-110 PointsBet)
The best bet
The second half of Game 4 may not have been as entertaining considering the Mavericks had a sizeable advantage before the Warriors roared again with a 39-point quarter, but it produced a lot of points for those betting on about 24 points. high score final minutes. .
Dallas and Golden State combined to score 119 points in the second half compared to 109 in the first two quarters, which is a trend we’re seeing in this series. Outside of a 130-point explosion in the first half of the second game, the second half has been the highest-scoring half in the other three games in this series.
These enemies have an average of 112.6 2H points versus 108.3 1H points while firing 51% collectively from the ground in the last two quarters compared to only 44% in the first half. These scoring divisions in the series are pretty much the same as the Mavs and Warriors outing for the postseason so far: 107.5 1H PPG vs. 112.8 2H PPG.
The books have the second half priced at +120 for being the highest scoring half in game 5.
Selection: half with highest score = second (+120 to bet365)
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