The impact of the result of Ontario’s election night that led to a decisive victory for the Progressive Conservatives will no doubt reverberate beyond provincial politics to the bounces of the federal party headquarters, says pollster Nik Nanos.
Nanos, of Nanos Research, said the federal Liberal Party will be worryingly evaluating the worst performance of its provincial counterparts and what that means for federal support in Ontario.
“If you’re a federal liberal organizer, you have to be looking at this and thinking, you know, the mark is on the heels behind Ontario. The party doesn’t even have party status. People are grumpy and opted for a pragmatic alternative, “he said in the latest episode of Trend Line.
The Ontario Liberal Party won only 23.6% of the vote and eight seats, and leader Steven Del Duca lost in his hometown. He later announced that he would resign.
Nanos said the Ontario election result was not in line with Jagmeet Singh and the federal NDP.
“Jagmeet Singh, personally, her brother lost one of those Brampton seats … this is not only a setback for the party in Ontario, it’s also a setback for Jagmeet Singh on a personal level because he’s his brother, ”he said. dit.
The Ontario NDP remained with 23.7% of the vote and 31 seats, but lost its leader Andrea Horwath, who also announced her retirement.
And while it was a good night for the Conservatives, turnout reached an all-time low, with only 43.5 per cent of eligible voters voting, according to preliminary results from Elections Ontario.
“I think what happened in this particular election is that for the Liberals and the new Democrats, they ran uninspiring campaigns and people were not motivated to go out and vote,” Nanos said.
There are things to take away, he says, for candidates for the party’s federal leadership.
“Most voters are not ideological, they want pragmatic decisions and decision-making by their elected officials. That’s what I think Ontarians think they’re doing with Doug Ford, “he said.
“Maybe this is a little caution that if you want to have traction to win in Ontario, look at what Doug Ford is doing.”
With a file by Katherine DeClerq of CTV News Toronto.
Nanos Research: Tracking Ontario Ballots