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Less than 10% of Liberal voters chose Del Duca over NPD leader Horwath as the best choice for the Ontario Prime Minister.
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June 1, 2022 • 48 minutes ago • 3 minutes of reading • 31 comments Polls show that Doug Ford’s Ontario election campaign has 33% support in Toronto compared to 32% of Liberals and 26% of newcomers Democrats. Photo of Cole Burston / Bloomberg
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OTTAWA – With less than a day to go before Ontario’s election campaign, the most unlikely of cities is stuck in an almost three-way tie over who should form the next provincial government.
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A Postmedia / Leger Ontario provincial election poll puts Ontario’s PCs at a comfortable 40% of the vote, while the Ontario Liberals and the NDP, as they have done for much of the campaign, they get caught up in a fierce battle for second place on Thursday. vote, each getting a quarter of the votes.
But about a third of all three party supporters live within the city limits of Toronto, the poll suggests, with 33 percent supporting the PC, 32 percent supporting the Liberals and 26 percent supporting the New Democrats.
Toronto grew four shades of darker blue this week, bringing Conservative support in the city to 33%, while party support in northern Ontario fell from 39% to 33%.
“With these numbers, I would say that computers are looking for a comfortable majority, as far as they were in 2018,” said Andrew Enns of Leger.
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“They can even grab a couple more seats, depending on the division.”
Support for Mike Schreiner’s Green Party fell one point from last week, while New Blue and Ontario did not move by three and two percent, respectively.
Nearly half of Conservative support is currently in the “905” suburbs of Toronto, followed by 44% in eastern Ontario and 40% in southern Ontario.
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Ford’s computers are moving away from the Liberals in a new poll that should worry Del Duca
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Ontario NDP stuck in voter-friendly zone while PCs maintain strong electoral leadership – poll
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Ontario Liberals and NDP rule out federal-style coalition if they lose to Doug Ford’s computers
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Unlike in previous Ontario elections, when disgruntled Liberal supporters parked their votes with the new Democrats, Enns said the figures do not suggest the same thing to happen this time.
“Wind the data, I haven’t seen much movement between either party,” he said.
“I would say there may have been some change between the Liberals and the NDP, as the Liberals jumped to a bigger lead at the beginning of the campaign, but that seems to have closed.”
This move, Enns said, reflects the campaign for opposition parties.
“Voters who were seduced (to change) from the beginning are now not so convinced, for one reason or another,” he said.
Fortune has not smiled on Liberal leader Steven Del Duca in this campaign, who not only cannot count on his own party to receive support, but according to poll data released by the Toronto Star on Tuesday, will face defeat in his hometown of Vaughan-Woodbridge. .
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Among those with declared voting intentions, only 39 percent of Liberal voters said Del Duca was the best choice for the prime minister.
That compares to 80 percent of the computers that said Doug Ford would be the best prime minister, 70 percent of the NDPs by Andrea Horwath and 65 percent of the Greens who support a Schreiner government.
Of all respondents, regardless of party preference, 30% said Ford would be the best prime minister, compared to 23% for Horwath, 16% who answered “none of the above” and 11% % of Del Duca.
While there is no doubt about her re-election, Howarth told reporters on Tuesday during a campaign stop in Ottawa that even if her party remains in opposition, there is no guarantee that she will lead. .
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“I’ll wait and see what the people of Ontario decide. I hope they vote for hope,” he said.
“Once they make their decision, that will determine what happens to me personally.”
As for who will form the opposition, Enns said he is too close to call.
“I don’t think the opposition parties did enough to close the deal,” Enns said, suggesting that the Liberals have much more skin in this game than the NDP.
The defeat of the Liberals in 2018 dropped their majority of 55 seats to just seven, one less than the eight needed to achieve official party status.
Observers say the Liberals can count on Thursday night as a victory if they exceed that minimum of eight seats and regain their parliamentary privileges.
The Leger poll of 1,500 randomly selected Ontario voters was conducted between May 27 and 30 with a margin of error of ± 2.5%, 19 times 20.
With additional reports from The Canadian Press
• Email: bpassifiume@postmedia.com | Twitter: bryanpassifiume
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